Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

On Nov 3, 2026 If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within X to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses. If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be