What is the current price for "How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 99.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?"?

There are 5 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

Yes70%

Vol$0.00

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70%

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

Name: How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?
Start: 2026-07-10T06:03:37.524Z
End: 2026-08-09T06:03:37.524Z

Part of: How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

Before Nov 3, 2026 If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly X then the market resolves to Yes. To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold, regardless of District, for a party they are currently in, as of primary day for the seat they're contesting in in 2026; be running for the nomination of a position whose election day is on the same date as most Congressional elections in 2026,

YesLeading Yes Probability

70%

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How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026?

Yes

70%

Vol

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Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will exactly 0 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

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All Markets(5)

Market	Price
Will exactly 0 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?	70%
Will exactly 1 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?	26%
Will exactly 2 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?	4%
Will at least 4 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?	1%
Will exactly 3 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?	1%

Markets (5)

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Will exactly 0 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are

Will exactly 1 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are

Will exactly 2 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly 2, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are

Will at least 4 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is at least 4, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are

Will exactly 3 Senate Democratic members lose their primary in 2026?

If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly 3, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are