Will Newark fall below 40°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?
If the minimum temperature recorded at Newark (KEWR) for Nov 12 to 15, 2026 (inclusive, America/New_York local calendar dates), is less than 40° Fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The period minimum is the lowest of the official daily minimum temperatures for every local calendar date in the specified period, including both endpoints. Do not substitute hourly samples or calculate a final period minimum from incomplete daily reports. The nor’easter reference is descriptive only; all temperatures in the specified window count regardless of weather-system attribution. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early if its outcome is conclusively determined, in accordance with the contract.
