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How high will softwood lumber PPI get before 2027?

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EventKALSHI

How high will softwood lumber PPI get before 2027?

How high will softwood lumber PPI get before 2027?
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Vol

21.0K contracts

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Markets

6

Trade

Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Softwood lumber PPI above 190 before 2027?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(6)
MarketOutcome price
Softwood lumber PPI above 190 before 2027?
Yes 98.5%
Softwood lumber PPI above 290 before 2027?
Yes 74.5%
Softwood lumber PPI above 300 before 2027?
Yes 23.5%
Softwood lumber PPI above 310 before 2027?
Yes 4.5%
Softwood lumber PPI above 330 before 2027?
Yes 2.5%

Event Overview

After issuance; before January 1, 2027 If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber, BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100, is above X index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. The source is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS. The exact statistic is Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber, series WPU0811, not seasonally adjusted, index 1982=100. Values are index points, not dollar lumber prices. FRED, https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU0811, republishes this BLS series; the BLS publication time and original value control. For each market, the eligibility window begins strictly after that market's actual first issuance and ends strictly before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST. A publication already released at or before issuance does not count, including a release earlier on listing day. X subsequently added market has its own issuance time. The observation month may precede issuance: eligibility is determined by publication time. Use the initial BLS publication for each monthly observation, including a preliminary publication. This expressly selects initial publications instead of waiting for the first non-preliminary release. Subsequent revisions and corrections do not count. Publications at or after the deadline do not count, even if their observation month is in 2026. X current FRED chart containing revised history must not be used in place of the original release. Above means strictly greater than the strike, using the BLS-reported precision without additional rounding. X qualifying publication permits early Yes settlement. If none exceeds the strike by the deadline, including when there are no eligible publications, the condition is not met and the market resolves to No, subject to the Contract's normal data-unavailability and market-outcome-review contingencies. This market may close and expire early after an eligible initial BLS publication exceeds its threshold. X below-threshold publication does not end the market. Otherwise, the outcome is evaluated after the eligibility window ends.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (6)

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KALSHIOther
Softwood lumber PPI above 190 before 2027?

Softwood lumber PPI above 190 before 2027?

If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 190 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The source is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The exact statistic is Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber, series WPU0811, not seasonally adjusted, index 1982=100. Values are index points, not dollar lumber prices. FRED (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU0811) republishes this BLS series; the BLS publication time and original value control. For each market, the eligibility window begins strictly after that market's actual first issuance and ends strictly before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST. A publication already released at or before issuance does not count, including a release earlier on listing day. A subsequently added market has its own issuance time. The observation month may precede issuance: eligibility is determined by publication time. Use the initial BLS publication for each monthly observation, including a preliminary publication. This expressly selects initial publications instead of waiting for the first non-preliminary release. Subsequent revisions and corrections do not count. Publications at or after the deadline do not count, even if their observation month is in 2026. A current FRED chart containing revised history must not be used in place of the original release. Above means strictly greater than the strike, using the BLS-reported precision without additional rounding. A qualifying publication permits early Yes settlement. If none exceeds the strike by the deadline, including when there are no eligible publications, the condition is not met and the market resolves to No, subject to the Contract's normal data-unavailability and market-outcome-review contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early after an eligible initial BLS publication exceeds its threshold. A below-threshold publication does not end the market. Otherwise, the outcome is evaluated after the eligibility window ends.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume19.6K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Softwood lumber PPI above 290 before 2027?

Softwood lumber PPI above 290 before 2027?

If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 290 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The source is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The exact statistic is Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber, series WPU0811, not seasonally adjusted, index 1982=100. Values are index points, not dollar lumber prices. FRED (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU0811) republishes this BLS series; the BLS publication time and original value control. For each market, the eligibility window begins strictly after that market's actual first issuance and ends strictly before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST. A publication already released at or before issuance does not count, including a release earlier on listing day. A subsequently added market has its own issuance time. The observation month may precede issuance: eligibility is determined by publication time. Use the initial BLS publication for each monthly observation, including a preliminary publication. This expressly selects initial publications instead of waiting for the first non-preliminary release. Subsequent revisions and corrections do not count. Publications at or after the deadline do not count, even if their observation month is in 2026. A current FRED chart containing revised history must not be used in place of the original release. Above means strictly greater than the strike, using the BLS-reported precision without additional rounding. A qualifying publication permits early Yes settlement. If none exceeds the strike by the deadline, including when there are no eligible publications, the condition is not met and the market resolves to No, subject to the Contract's normal data-unavailability and market-outcome-review contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early after an eligible initial BLS publication exceeds its threshold. A below-threshold publication does not end the market. Otherwise, the outcome is evaluated after the eligibility window ends.

Yes outcome74.5%
Yes
Volume165 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Softwood lumber PPI above 300 before 2027?

Softwood lumber PPI above 300 before 2027?

If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 300 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The source is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The exact statistic is Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber, series WPU0811, not seasonally adjusted, index 1982=100. Values are index points, not dollar lumber prices. FRED (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU0811) republishes this BLS series; the BLS publication time and original value control. For each market, the eligibility window begins strictly after that market's actual first issuance and ends strictly before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST. A publication already released at or before issuance does not count, including a release earlier on listing day. A subsequently added market has its own issuance time. The observation month may precede issuance: eligibility is determined by publication time. Use the initial BLS publication for each monthly observation, including a preliminary publication. This expressly selects initial publications instead of waiting for the first non-preliminary release. Subsequent revisions and corrections do not count. Publications at or after the deadline do not count, even if their observation month is in 2026. A current FRED chart containing revised history must not be used in place of the original release. Above means strictly greater than the strike, using the BLS-reported precision without additional rounding. A qualifying publication permits early Yes settlement. If none exceeds the strike by the deadline, including when there are no eligible publications, the condition is not met and the market resolves to No, subject to the Contract's normal data-unavailability and market-outcome-review contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early after an eligible initial BLS publication exceeds its threshold. A below-threshold publication does not end the market. Otherwise, the outcome is evaluated after the eligibility window ends.

Yes outcome23.5%
Yes
Volume1.2K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Softwood lumber PPI above 310 before 2027?

Softwood lumber PPI above 310 before 2027?

If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 310 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The source is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The exact statistic is Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber, series WPU0811, not seasonally adjusted, index 1982=100. Values are index points, not dollar lumber prices. FRED (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU0811) republishes this BLS series; the BLS publication time and original value control. For each market, the eligibility window begins strictly after that market's actual first issuance and ends strictly before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST. A publication already released at or before issuance does not count, including a release earlier on listing day. A subsequently added market has its own issuance time. The observation month may precede issuance: eligibility is determined by publication time. Use the initial BLS publication for each monthly observation, including a preliminary publication. This expressly selects initial publications instead of waiting for the first non-preliminary release. Subsequent revisions and corrections do not count. Publications at or after the deadline do not count, even if their observation month is in 2026. A current FRED chart containing revised history must not be used in place of the original release. Above means strictly greater than the strike, using the BLS-reported precision without additional rounding. A qualifying publication permits early Yes settlement. If none exceeds the strike by the deadline, including when there are no eligible publications, the condition is not met and the market resolves to No, subject to the Contract's normal data-unavailability and market-outcome-review contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early after an eligible initial BLS publication exceeds its threshold. A below-threshold publication does not end the market. Otherwise, the outcome is evaluated after the eligibility window ends.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Softwood lumber PPI above 330 before 2027?

Softwood lumber PPI above 330 before 2027?

If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 330 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The source is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The exact statistic is Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber, series WPU0811, not seasonally adjusted, index 1982=100. Values are index points, not dollar lumber prices. FRED (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU0811) republishes this BLS series; the BLS publication time and original value control. For each market, the eligibility window begins strictly after that market's actual first issuance and ends strictly before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST. A publication already released at or before issuance does not count, including a release earlier on listing day. A subsequently added market has its own issuance time. The observation month may precede issuance: eligibility is determined by publication time. Use the initial BLS publication for each monthly observation, including a preliminary publication. This expressly selects initial publications instead of waiting for the first non-preliminary release. Subsequent revisions and corrections do not count. Publications at or after the deadline do not count, even if their observation month is in 2026. A current FRED chart containing revised history must not be used in place of the original release. Above means strictly greater than the strike, using the BLS-reported precision without additional rounding. A qualifying publication permits early Yes settlement. If none exceeds the strike by the deadline, including when there are no eligible publications, the condition is not met and the market resolves to No, subject to the Contract's normal data-unavailability and market-outcome-review contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early after an eligible initial BLS publication exceeds its threshold. A below-threshold publication does not end the market. Otherwise, the outcome is evaluated after the eligibility window ends.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details
KALSHIOther
Softwood lumber PPI above 320 before 2027?

Softwood lumber PPI above 320 before 2027?

If the Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber (BLS series WPU0811; not seasonally adjusted; index 1982=100) is above 320 index points in any eligible initial monthly publication released strictly after this market's actual first issuance and before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The source is the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). The exact statistic is Producer Price Index by Commodity: Lumber and Wood Products: Softwood Lumber, series WPU0811, not seasonally adjusted, index 1982=100. Values are index points, not dollar lumber prices. FRED (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/WPU0811) republishes this BLS series; the BLS publication time and original value control. For each market, the eligibility window begins strictly after that market's actual first issuance and ends strictly before January 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM EST. A publication already released at or before issuance does not count, including a release earlier on listing day. A subsequently added market has its own issuance time. The observation month may precede issuance: eligibility is determined by publication time. Use the initial BLS publication for each monthly observation, including a preliminary publication. This expressly selects initial publications instead of waiting for the first non-preliminary release. Subsequent revisions and corrections do not count. Publications at or after the deadline do not count, even if their observation month is in 2026. A current FRED chart containing revised history must not be used in place of the original release. Above means strictly greater than the strike, using the BLS-reported precision without additional rounding. A qualifying publication permits early Yes settlement. If none exceeds the strike by the deadline, including when there are no eligible publications, the condition is not met and the market resolves to No, subject to the Contract's normal data-unavailability and market-outcome-review contingencies. Early close condition: This market may close and expire early after an eligible initial BLS publication exceeds its threshold. A below-threshold publication does not end the market. Otherwise, the outcome is evaluated after the eligibility window ends.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2027
View Details

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