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US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report

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EventKALSHI

US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report

US mortgage applications change in the next MBA report
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Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

11 markets tracked

Mortgage applications change above −8% in the next MBA report?

kalshi

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All Markets(11)
MarketOutcome price
Mortgage applications change above −8% in the next MBA report?
Yes 50.0%
Mortgage applications change above 8% in the next MBA report?
Yes 50.0%
Mortgage applications change above −6% in the next MBA report?
Yes 50.0%
Mortgage applications change above 6% in the next MBA report?
Yes 50.0%
Mortgage applications change above −4% in the next MBA report?
Yes 50.0%

Event Overview

the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above X then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (11)

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KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above −8% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above −8% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above 8% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above 8% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above −6% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above −6% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above 6% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above 6% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above −4% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above −4% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above 4% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above 4% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above −2% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above −2% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above 2% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above 2% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above −10% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above −10% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above -10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above 10% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above 10% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Mortgage applications change above 0% in the next MBA report?

Mortgage applications change above 0% in the next MBA report?

If the percentage change in the seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first MBA Weekly Applications Survey release after market Issuance is above 0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the first-published percentage change in MBA’s seasonally adjusted Market Composite Index in the first new Weekly Applications Survey results release after market Issuance. All strikes use the same release, including strikes added later. The reported change is used directly, including holiday adjustments and regardless of the comparison period; no calculation is required. If separate changes are reported for multiple reference weeks, the latest reference week controls. Increases are positive, decreases negative, and unchanged is 0%. “Above” means strictly greater than the strike. Later revisions, corrections, and subsequent releases are ignored. If publication is delayed, trading remains closed pending the qualifying release, subject to the latest expiration and the contract’s missing-data provisions. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details

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