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Which New York City restaurants earn a Michelin star in 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

Which New York City restaurants earn a Michelin star in 2026?

Which New York City restaurants earn a Michelin star in 2026?
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Vol

2.0K contracts

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Markets

6

Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Maison Passerelle earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(6)
MarketOutcome price
Will Maison Passerelle earn its first Michelin star in 2026?
Yes 66.5%
Will HWARO earn its first Michelin star in 2026?
Yes 51.0%
Will Kabawa earn its first Michelin star in 2026?
Yes 47.5%
Will Le Chêne earn its first Michelin star in 2026?
Yes 39.5%
Will Tatiana earn its first Michelin star in 2026?
Yes 32.5%

Event Overview

New York City First (2026) If X has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Eligible restaurants have never held a Michelin star and had zero stars in the prior annual edition; any gain to one or more qualifies. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars do not count as Michelin star gains. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (6)

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KALSHITech
Will Maison Passerelle earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

Will Maison Passerelle earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

If Maison Passerelle has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants have never held a Michelin star and had zero stars in the prior annual edition; any gain to one or more qualifies. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars do not count as Michelin star gains. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome66.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIWorld
Will HWARO earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

Will HWARO earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

If HWARO has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants have never held a Michelin star and had zero stars in the prior annual edition; any gain to one or more qualifies. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars do not count as Michelin star gains. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome51.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Kabawa earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

Will Kabawa earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

If Kabawa has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants have never held a Michelin star and had zero stars in the prior annual edition; any gain to one or more qualifies. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars do not count as Michelin star gains. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome47.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Le Chêne earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

Will Le Chêne earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

If Le Chêne has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants have never held a Michelin star and had zero stars in the prior annual edition; any gain to one or more qualifies. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars do not count as Michelin star gains. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome39.5%
Yes
Volume50 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Will Tatiana earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

Will Tatiana earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

If Tatiana has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants have never held a Michelin star and had zero stars in the prior annual edition; any gain to one or more qualifies. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars do not count as Michelin star gains. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome32.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIWorld
Will Bungalow earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

Will Bungalow earn its first Michelin star in 2026?

If Bungalow has gained Michelin stars in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants have never held a Michelin star and had zero stars in the prior annual edition; any gain to one or more qualifies. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars do not count as Michelin star gains. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome11.5%
Yes
Volume2.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details

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