Skip to main content
K

Which New York City restaurants lose Michelin stars in 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

Which New York City restaurants lose Michelin stars in 2026?

Which New York City restaurants lose Michelin stars in 2026?
|
Vol

112.8 contracts

|
Markets

6

Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will Per Se lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(6)
MarketOutcome price
Will Per Se lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?
Yes 30.5%
Will Eleven Madison Park lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?
Yes 9.5%
Will Masa lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?
Yes 6.5%
Will Daniel lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?
Yes 5.5%
Will Le Bernardin lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?
Yes 4.5%

Event Overview

New York City Lose (2026) If X has lost at least one Michelin star in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Eligible restaurants held at least one Michelin star in the prior annual edition. X decrease in star count, including removal from the starred listings, qualifies as a loss, subject to the permanent-closure exception below. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 14, 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Only regular Michelin star counts are compared; Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars are not Michelin stars. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (6)

Sort
KALSHISports
Will Per Se lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

Will Per Se lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

If Per Se has lost at least one Michelin star in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants held at least one Michelin star in the prior annual edition. A decrease in star count, including removal from the starred listings, qualifies as a loss, subject to the permanent-closure exception below. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 14, 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Only regular Michelin star counts are compared; Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars are not Michelin stars. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome30.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHISports
Will Eleven Madison Park lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

Will Eleven Madison Park lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

If Eleven Madison Park has lost at least one Michelin star in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants held at least one Michelin star in the prior annual edition. A decrease in star count, including removal from the starred listings, qualifies as a loss, subject to the permanent-closure exception below. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 14, 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Only regular Michelin star counts are compared; Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars are not Michelin stars. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome9.5%
Yes
Volume112.8 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHISports
Will Masa lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

Will Masa lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

If Masa has lost at least one Michelin star in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants held at least one Michelin star in the prior annual edition. A decrease in star count, including removal from the starred listings, qualifies as a loss, subject to the permanent-closure exception below. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 14, 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Only regular Michelin star counts are compared; Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars are not Michelin stars. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome6.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHISports
Will Daniel lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

Will Daniel lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

If Daniel has lost at least one Michelin star in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants held at least one Michelin star in the prior annual edition. A decrease in star count, including removal from the starred listings, qualifies as a loss, subject to the permanent-closure exception below. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 14, 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Only regular Michelin star counts are compared; Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars are not Michelin stars. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHISports
Will Le Bernardin lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

Will Le Bernardin lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

If Le Bernardin has lost at least one Michelin star in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants held at least one Michelin star in the prior annual edition. A decrease in star count, including removal from the starred listings, qualifies as a loss, subject to the permanent-closure exception below. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 14, 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Only regular Michelin star counts are compared; Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars are not Michelin stars. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHISports
Will Jean-Georges lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

Will Jean-Georges lose at least one Michelin star in 2026?

If Jean-Georges has lost at least one Michelin star in the 2026 annual Michelin Guide compared with the prior annual edition, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Eligible restaurants held at least one Michelin star in the prior annual edition. A decrease in star count, including removal from the starred listings, qualifies as a loss, subject to the permanent-closure exception below. Compare the official 2026 annual Michelin Guide with the 2025 annual edition. Use each restaurant's exact official name at the listed location; relocations are not tracked. Only the official publication for Dec 14, 2026 is used; later revisions, retractions, and mid-year changes do not count. If a restaurant permanently closes before the new Guide is released and is not listed, its market resolves to No. Temporary closures or name changes do not count as a change unless Michelin attributes a different number of stars. Only regular Michelin star counts are compared; Bib Gourmand, unstarred Guide inclusion, and Green Stars are not Michelin stars. Each restaurant market resolves independently; multiple restaurants may resolve Yes. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Michelin Guide. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire after the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 21, 2026
View Details

Share This Event

Share on social media or embed on your website