What is the current price for "Arkansas Senate margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 68.0% probability.

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There are 11 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Arkansas Senate margin of victory

Yes83%

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Arkansas Senate margin of victory

Name: Arkansas Senate margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T08:55:59.509Z
End: 2026-08-09T08:55:59.509Z

Part of: Arkansas Senate margin of victory

On November 3, 2026 If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes fi

YesLeading Yes Probability

83%

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Arkansas Senate margin of victory

Yes

83%

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11 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 14 percentage points?

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All Markets(11)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 14 percentage points?	83%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 16 percentage points?	77%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 18 percentage points?	71%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 20 percentage points?	65%
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 22 percentage points?	60%

Markets (11)

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Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 14 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 16 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 18 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 20 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 22 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 22 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 24 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 26 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 28 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 28 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 30 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 32 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 32 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 34 percentage points?

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Arkansas by 34 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republi

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

Arkansas Senate margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 14 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (11)

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 14 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 16 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 18 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 20 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 22 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 24 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 26 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 28 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 30 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 32 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the U.S. Senate election in Arkansas be at least 34 percentage points?

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