Event Group
EventKALSHI
Single EventKALSHIElections
California's 3rd District margin of victory
Part of: California's 3rd District margin of victoryCalifornia's 3rd District If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 3rd District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins
YesLeading Yes Probability
96%
|
VolTotal Volume
$59.00
|
Markets
11
California's 3rd District margin of victory
Yes
96%
|
Vol
$59.00
|
Markets
11
Market Price Graph
11 markets tracked
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points?
kalshi
No data available
All Markets(11)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 5 percentage points? | 96% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 8 percentage points? | 95% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 11 percentage points? | 93% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 14 percentage points? | 86% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 3rd District House election be at least 17 percentage points? | 77% |
Markets (11)
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