What is the current price for "California's 4th District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 92.2% probability.

How many markets are available for "California's 4th District margin of victory"?

There are 3 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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California's 4th District margin of victory

Yes8%

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California's 4th District margin of victory

Name: California's 4th District margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-12T10:45:52.354Z
End: 2026-11-11T10:45:52.354Z

Part of: California's 4th District margin of victory

In 2026 If Eric Jones wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 4th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Eric Jones minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Eric Jones if Eric Jones wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Eric Jones

YesLeading Yes Probability

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California's 4th District margin of victory

Yes

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3 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 5 percentage points?

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All Markets(3)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 5 percentage points?	8%
Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 10 percentage points?	4%
Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 15 percentage points?	3%

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Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 5 percentage points?

If Eric Jones wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 4th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentag

Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 10 percentage points?

If Eric Jones wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 4th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percenta

Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 15 percentage points?

If Eric Jones wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 4th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percenta

California's 4th District margin of victory

California's 4th District margin of victory

California's 4th District margin of victory

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Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 5 percentage points?

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Markets (3)

Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 5 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 10 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Eric Jones in CA-04 be at least 15 percentage points?

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