Event Group
EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections
California's 5th District margin of victory
Part of: California's 5th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 5th District If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 5th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins
YesLeading Yes Probability
88%
|
VolTotal Volume
$200.00
|
Markets
9
California's 5th District margin of victory

Yes
88%
|
Vol
$200.00
|
Markets
9
Market Price Graph
9 markets tracked
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
kalshi
No data available
All Markets(9)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points? | 88% |
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points? | 78% |
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points? | 66% |
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points? | 52% |
Will the margin of victory for Republicans in the California's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points? | 37% |
Markets (9)
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