Event Group
EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections
California's 38th District margin of victory
Part of: California's 38th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 38th District If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 38th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wi
YesLeading Yes Probability
82%
|
VolTotal Volume
$200.00
|
Markets
10
California's 38th District margin of victory

Yes
82%
|
Vol
$200.00
|
Markets
10
Market Price Graph
10 markets tracked
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?
kalshi
No data available
All Markets(10)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 15 percentage points? | 82% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 18 percentage points? | 70% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 21 percentage points? | 56% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 24 percentage points? | 41% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the California's 38th District House election be at least 27 percentage points? | 28% |
Markets (10)
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