What is the current price for "California's 40th District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 50.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "California's 40th District margin of victory"?

There are 7 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "California's 40th District margin of victory"?

Total trading volume is approximately $0K.

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California's 40th District margin of victory

Yes50%

Vol$400.00

Markets7

50%

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California's 40th District margin of victory

Name: California's 40th District margin of victory
Start: 2026-10-12T07:26:09.929Z
End: 2026-11-11T07:26:09.929Z

Part of: California's 40th District margin of victory

In 2026 If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by Ken Calvert minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind Ken Calvert if Ken Calvert wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if Ken C

YesLeading Yes Probability

50%

VolTotal Volume

$400.00

Markets

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California's 40th District margin of victory

Yes

50%

Vol

$400.00

Markets

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Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 1 percentage points?

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All Markets(7)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 1 percentage points?	50%
Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 5 percentage points?	34%
Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 10 percentage points?	16%
Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 15 percentage points?	6%
Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 20 percentage points?	4%

Markets (7)

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Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 1 percentage points?

If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percent

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 5 percentage points?

If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percent

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 10 percentage points?

If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percen

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 15 percentage points?

If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percen

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 20 percentage points?

If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percen

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 25 percentage points?

If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by 25 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percen

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 30 percentage points?

If Ken Calvert wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 40th District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percen

California's 40th District margin of victory

California's 40th District margin of victory

California's 40th District margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 1 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (7)

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 1 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 5 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 10 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 15 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 20 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 25 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Ken Calvert in CA-40 be at least 30 percentage points?

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