What is the current price for "Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 75.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory"?

There are 9 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory

Yes92%

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Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory

Name: Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T08:48:48.445Z
End: 2026-08-09T08:48:48.445Z

Part of: Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory

Connecticut's 5th District If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wi

YesLeading Yes Probability

92%

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Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory

Yes

92%

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9 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?

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All Markets(9)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?	92%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?	84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?	75%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?	67%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?	53%

Markets (9)

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Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vot

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vot

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vot

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vot

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vot

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Connecticut's 5th District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vot

Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory

Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory

Connecticut's 5th District margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (9)

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 6 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 9 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 12 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 15 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 18 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 21 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 24 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Connecticut's 5th District House election be at least 27 percentage points?

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