Event Group
EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections
New York's 4th District margin of victory
Part of: New York's 4th District margin of victoryNew York's 4th District If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 4th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or
YesLeading Yes Probability
81%
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VolTotal Volume
$0.00
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Markets
8
New York's 4th District margin of victory

Yes
81%
|
Vol
$0.00
|
Markets
8
Market Price Graph
8 markets tracked
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points?
kalshi
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All Markets(8)
| Market | Price |
|---|---|
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 3 percentage points? | 81% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 6 percentage points? | 75% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 9 percentage points? | 69% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 12 percentage points? | 60% |
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 4th District House election be at least 15 percentage points? | 50% |
Markets (8)
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