What is the current price for "New York's 16th District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 89.3% probability.

How many markets are available for "New York's 16th District margin of victory"?

There are 9 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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New York's 16th District margin of victory

Yes96%

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New York's 16th District margin of victory

Name: New York's 16th District margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T04:40:32.962Z
End: 2026-08-09T04:40:32.962Z

Part of: New York's 16th District margin of victory

New York's 16th District If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins,

YesLeading Yes Probability

96%

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New York's 16th District margin of victory

Yes

96%

Vol

$0.00

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9 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?

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All Markets(9)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?	96%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?	84%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?	73%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?	63%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?	52%

Markets (9)

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Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by 32 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by 44 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by 47 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by 50 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by 53 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 16th District by 56 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

New York's 16th District margin of victory

New York's 16th District margin of victory

New York's 16th District margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (9)

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 32 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 35 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 38 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 41 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 44 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 47 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 50 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 53 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New York's 16th District House election be at least 56 percentage points?

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