What is the current price for "Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 89.3% probability.

How many markets are available for "Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory"?

There are 9 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes92%

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Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory

Name: Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T05:48:42.395Z
End: 2026-08-09T05:48:42.395Z

Part of: Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory

Virginia's 3rd District If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or

YesLeading Yes Probability

92%

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Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes

92%

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9 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?

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All Markets(9)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?	92%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?	83%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?	74%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?	65%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?	56%

Markets (9)

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Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by 32 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by 41 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by 44 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 47 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Virginia's 3rd District by 47 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory

Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory

Virginia's 3rd District margin of victory

Market Price Graph

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (9)

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 23 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 26 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 29 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 32 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 35 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 38 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 41 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 44 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Virginia's 3rd District House election be at least 47 percentage points?

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