What is the current price for "Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 73.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory"?

There are 6 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

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Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes64%

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Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

Name: Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory
Start: 2026-07-10T05:34:53.809Z
End: 2026-08-09T05:34:53.809Z

Part of: Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

Wisconsin's 3rd District If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by X percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins,

YesLeading Yes Probability

64%

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Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

Yes

64%

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$0.00

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6 markets tracked

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?

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All Markets(6)

Market	Price
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?	64%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?	43%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?	27%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?	12%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?	7%

Markets (6)

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Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote p

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Wisconsin's 3rd District by 16 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote

Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

Wisconsin's 3rd District margin of victory

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Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (6)

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 10 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 13 percentage points?

Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the Wisconsin's 3rd District House election be at least 16 percentage points?

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