What is the current price for "Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 70.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place"?

There are 6 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place"?

Trading volume data is not currently available.

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Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place

Yes47%

Vol$0.00

Markets6

47%

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EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIElections

Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place

Name: Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place
Start: 2026-10-13T03:23:30.659Z
End: 2026-11-12T03:23:30.659Z

Part of: Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place

On May 6, 2027 If X finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's final seat allocation order. The party awarded the 2nd-highest number of seats in the Northern Ireland Assembly, counting the members declared elected across the 18 constituencies in the Electoral Office for North

YesLeading Yes Probability

47%

VolTotal Volume

$0.00

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Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place

Yes

47%

Vol

$0.00

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

6 markets tracked

Will the Democratic Unionist Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

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All Markets(6)

Market	Price
Will the Democratic Unionist Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?	47%
Will the Ulster Unionist Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?	30%
Will the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?	7%
Will Sinn Féin finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?	7%
Will the Social Democratic and Labour Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?	6%

Markets (6)

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Will the Democratic Unionist Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

If the Democratic Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electo

Will the Ulster Unionist Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

If the Ulster Unionist Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral

Will the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

If the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows t

Will Sinn Féin finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

If Sinn Féin finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral authority's fina

Will the Social Democratic and Labour Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

If the Social Democratic and Labour Party finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows t

Will Traditional Unionist Voice finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

If Traditional Unionist Voice finishes in 2nd place in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Ranking is determined by the specified counting method. For proportional representation, rank follows the electoral

Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place

Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place

Northern Ireland Assembly election: 2nd place

Market Price Graph

Will the Democratic Unionist Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Markets (6)

Will the Democratic Unionist Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

Will the Ulster Unionist Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

Will the Alliance Party of Northern Ireland finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

Will Sinn Féin finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

Will the Social Democratic and Labour Party finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

Will Traditional Unionist Voice finish 2nd in the next Northern Ireland Assembly election?

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