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Open source share of spend on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)

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EventKALSHI

Open source share of spend on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)

Open source share of spend on Nov 2, 2026 (Vercel)
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Markets

9

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Market snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Open source share of spend above 38.2%

kalshi

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All Markets(9)
MarketOutcome price
Open source share of spend above 38.2%
Yes 49.5%
Open source share of spend above 36.8%
Yes 49.5%
Open source share of spend above 34.1%
Yes 49.5%
Open source share of spend above 31.6%
Yes 49.5%
Open source share of spend above 29.9%
Yes 49.5%

Event Overview

Nov 2, 2026 If the Open source share of spend for Nov 2, 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (9)

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KALSHIOther
Open source share of spend above 38.2%

Open source share of spend above 38.2%

If the Open source share of spend for Nov 2, 2026 is above 38.2%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 10, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Open source share of spend above 36.8%

Open source share of spend above 36.8%

If the Open source share of spend for Nov 2, 2026 is above 36.8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 10, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Open source share of spend above 34.1%

Open source share of spend above 34.1%

If the Open source share of spend for Nov 2, 2026 is above 34.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 10, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Open source share of spend above 31.6%

Open source share of spend above 31.6%

If the Open source share of spend for Nov 2, 2026 is above 31.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 10, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Open source share of spend above 29.9%

Open source share of spend above 29.9%

If the Open source share of spend for Nov 2, 2026 is above 29.9%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 10, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Open source share of spend above 27.6%

Open source share of spend above 27.6%

If the Open source share of spend for Nov 2, 2026 is above 27.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 10, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Open source share of spend above 27.1%

Open source share of spend above 27.1%

If the Open source share of spend for Nov 2, 2026 is above 27.1%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 10, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Open source share of spend above 25.3%

Open source share of spend above 25.3%

If the Open source share of spend for Nov 2, 2026 is above 25.3%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 10, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
Open source share of spend above 21.9%

Open source share of spend above 21.9%

If the Open source share of spend for Nov 2, 2026 is above 21.9%, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This event resolves using the Open Weights percentage in the Spend chart on Vercel AI Gateway's Models leaderboard with Group by Weights and All Types selected, rounded to one decimal. Open source refers to Vercel's Open Weights category: models that publish their weights for download. At 10:00 AM ET on Nov 3, 2026, Kalshi will use the chart's updated value for Nov 2, 2026. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Vercel. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market may expire early after the specified value is available, in accordance with Rule 7.2.

Yes outcome49.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 10, 2026
View Details

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