Palermo mayoral election winner?

In 2027 If the candidate of the registered coalition that includes X wins the 2027 Palermo mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes. The winner is the candidate elected Mayor of Palermo, in the first round, decided at 40% of valid votes under Sicilian law, or at a runoff. X candidate's coalition is the set of lists the candidate is linked to in the first-round filing, and a party running alone is a coalition of one. Coalition membership is fixed at that filing; lists linked between rou