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Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?

Yes4%

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Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?

Name: Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?
Start: 2026-07-10T07:07:35.392Z
End: 2026-08-09T07:07:35.392Z

Part of: Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?

Before 2027 If the Senate has overruled the parliamentarian’s ruling on whether a given line-item can be included within budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

YesLeading Yes Probability

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Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation in 2026?

Yes

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Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027?

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Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027?	4%

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Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027?

If the Senate has overruled the parliamentarian’s ruling on whether a given line-item can be included within budget reconciliation before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.