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How many Great Plains House seats will Democrats win in 2026?

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How many Great Plains House seats will Democrats win in 2026?

How many Great Plains House seats will Democrats win in 2026?
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Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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6 markets tracked

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 4 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

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All Markets(6)
MarketOutcome price
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 4 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Yes 54.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 3 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Yes 54.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Yes 53.5%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 6 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Yes 47.0%
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 8 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
Yes 45.5%

Event Overview

November 3, 2026 If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota is at least X at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. The qualifying districts are the 18 U.S. House districts in Iowa, 4, Kansas, 4, Nebraska, 3, North Dakota, 1, Oklahoma, 5, and South Dakota, 1, under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. X district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

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Markets (6)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 4 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 4 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota is at least 4 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 18 U.S. House districts in Iowa (4), Kansas (4), Nebraska (3), North Dakota (1), Oklahoma (5) and South Dakota (1), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome54.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 3 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 3 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota is at least 3 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 18 U.S. House districts in Iowa (4), Kansas (4), Nebraska (3), North Dakota (1), Oklahoma (5) and South Dakota (1), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome54.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota is at least 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 18 U.S. House districts in Iowa (4), Kansas (4), Nebraska (3), North Dakota (1), Oklahoma (5) and South Dakota (1), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome53.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 6 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 6 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota is at least 6 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 18 U.S. House districts in Iowa (4), Kansas (4), Nebraska (3), North Dakota (1), Oklahoma (5) and South Dakota (1), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome47.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 8 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 8 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota is at least 8 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 18 U.S. House districts in Iowa (4), Kansas (4), Nebraska (3), North Dakota (1), Oklahoma (5) and South Dakota (1), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 7 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

Will the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota be at least 7 at the November 3, 2026 general election?

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from Iowa, Kansas, Nebraska, North Dakota, Oklahoma and South Dakota is at least 7 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The qualifying districts are the 18 U.S. House districts in Iowa (4), Kansas (4), Nebraska (3), North Dakota (1), Oklahoma (5) and South Dakota (1), under the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the Nov 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning Jan 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat, including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.

Yes outcome45.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateMar 15, 2027
View Details

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