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Florida Republican presidential primary winner?

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Florida Republican presidential primary winner?

Florida Republican presidential primary winner?
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Vol

163.17 contracts

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Markets

5

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Market snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

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All Markets(5)
MarketOutcome price
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?
Yes 32.5%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?
Yes 24.5%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?
Yes 16.5%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?
Yes 5.0%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?
Yes 4.0%

Event Overview

FL If X wins the 2028 Florida Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Republican national convention delegates from Florida, the earlier one if two allocate the same number. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (5)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

If J.D. Vance wins the 2028 Florida Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Republican national convention delegates from Florida (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome32.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

If Marco Rubio wins the 2028 Florida Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Republican national convention delegates from Florida (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome24.5%
Yes
Volume43.3 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

If Ron DeSantis wins the 2028 Florida Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Republican national convention delegates from Florida (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome16.5%
Yes
Volume119.87 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

If Tucker Carlson wins the 2028 Florida Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Republican national convention delegates from Florida (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Florida Republican primary?

If Thomas Massie wins the 2028 Florida Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the statewide primary or caucus that allocates the most Republican national convention delegates from Florida (the earlier one if two allocate the same number). The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details

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