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2028 New Mexico Republican primary winner?

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2028 New Mexico Republican primary winner?

2028 New Mexico Republican primary winner?
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Market snapshot: Nov 6, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

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All Markets(5)
MarketOutcome price
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?
Yes 35.0%
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?
Yes 20.0%
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?
Yes 8.5%
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?
Yes 4.7%
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?
Yes 4.0%

Event Overview

NM If X wins the 2028 New Mexico Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the New Mexico Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
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Markets (5)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

If J.D. Vance wins the 2028 New Mexico Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the New Mexico Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome35.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

If Marco Rubio wins the 2028 New Mexico Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the New Mexico Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome20.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

If Ron DeSantis wins the 2028 New Mexico Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the New Mexico Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

If Tucker Carlson wins the 2028 New Mexico Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the New Mexico Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.7%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 New Mexico Republican primary?

If Thomas Massie wins the 2028 New Mexico Republican presidential nominating contest, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. This market resolves on the New Mexico Republican presidential primary conducted by the state, whether or not it allocates or binds national convention delegates. The winner is the candidate with the most votes in its final round of counting, and only a projection of that candidate counts toward accelerated determination. "Uncommitted" and similar ballot options are not candidates. If that contest is not held before Nov 7, 2028, or reports no statewide vote count, every market resolves to No. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 07, 2028
View Details

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