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Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?

Marco Rubio announces departure as Secretary of State?
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Vol

0 contracts

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Markets

7

Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

7 markets tracked

Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2029?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(7)
MarketOutcome price
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2029?
Yes 48.5%
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2028?
Yes 36.5%
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2028?
Yes 29.5%
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Oct 1, 2027?
Yes 22.5%
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2027?
Yes 15.5%

Event Overview

Before Jan 2029 If Marco Rubio leaves, or announces he will leave, as Secretary of State before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death, i.e., if the person dies while holding the role, all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

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  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
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Markets (7)

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KALSHIWorld
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2029?

Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2029?

If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome48.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2029
View Details
KALSHIWorld
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2028?

Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2028?

If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome36.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHIWorld
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2028?

Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2028?

If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome29.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2028
View Details
KALSHIWorld
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Oct 1, 2027?

Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Oct 1, 2027?

If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome22.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIWorld
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2027?

Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2027?

If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome15.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJul 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIWorld
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Apr 1, 2027?

Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Apr 1, 2027?

If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome9.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateApr 08, 2027
View Details
KALSHIWorld
Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Marco Rubio announce their departure as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2027?

If Marco Rubio leaves (or announces he will leave) as Secretary of State before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. Leaving only another role, such as National Security Advisor, does not count. Being considered for or named to another position, or announcing a campaign for office, does not count unless the announcement states or clearly communicates that Marco Rubio will cease to be Secretary of State. A departure that takes effect at the end of the current presidential term on Jan 20, 2029 does not count, including a statement that he will serve until then, that he will not serve in the next administration, or that he will take another office beginning then. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the specific individual leaves the role as defined in the payout criteria.

Yes outcome5.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
View Details

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