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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

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How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the 2028 election?
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Vol

41.21 contracts

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Markets

15

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Market snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

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15 markets tracked

Will Democrats hold at least 42 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

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All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will Democrats hold at least 42 Senate seats after the 2028 election?
Yes 96.5%
Will Democrats hold at least 44 Senate seats after the 2028 election?
Yes 94.5%
Will Democrats hold at least 46 Senate seats after the 2028 election?
Yes 92.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 47 Senate seats after the 2028 election?
Yes 89.0%
Will Democrats hold at least 48 Senate seats after the 2028 election?
Yes 79.5%

Event Overview

When the new Senate convenes in Jan 2029 If the Democratic Party holds at least X seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

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  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
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Markets (15)

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KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 42 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 42 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 42 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome96.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 44 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 44 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 44 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 46 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 46 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 46 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome92.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 47 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 47 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 47 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome89.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 48 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 48 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 48 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome79.5%
Yes
Volume41.21 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 49 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 49 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 49 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome73.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 50 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 50 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 50 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome65.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 51 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 51 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 51 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome57.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 52 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 52 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 52 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome47.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 53 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 53 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 53 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome38.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 54 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 54 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 54 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome29.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 55 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 55 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 55 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome19.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 56 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 56 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 56 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome10.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 58 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 58 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 58 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome7.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details
KALSHIPolitics
Will Democrats hold at least 60 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

Will Democrats hold at least 60 Senate seats after the 2028 election?

If the Democratic Party holds at least 60 seats in the U.S. Senate at the end of the day the new Congress first convenes after the November 7, 2028, general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Independent and unaffiliated members who caucus with Democrats will be included. Every voting seat in the Senate counts, including any seat not on the 2028 ballot. Vacant and disputed seats count toward no party. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome4.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateFeb 01, 2029
View Details

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