Spanish general election: margin of victory

On Nov 29, 2026 If the margin of victory for PSOE in the 2026 Spanish general election is X Y Z 3%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the share of valid votes received by the party named in the market minus the share received by the party that finishes second if the named party finishes first, or minus the share of the party that finishes first if the named party does not. If the named party finishes first, the margin will be positive; if it does not, the margin will be