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Will the U.S. announce a new SPR release before 2027?

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Will the U.S. announce a new SPR release before 2027?

Will the U.S. announce a new SPR release before 2027?
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200 contracts

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Markets

1

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Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will a new U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve release announcement be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?

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All Markets(1)
MarketOutcome price
Will a new U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve release announcement be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?
Yes 41.5%

Event Overview

Before Jan 1, 2027 If a new U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve release announcement is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A qualifying announcement must commit to releasing additional SPR crude oil beyond quantities publicly announced before this market opened. Sales and exchanges qualify. Solicitations, contract awards, or deliveries implementing previously announced quantities do not qualify. Proposals, statements considering a release, and purchases to replenish the SPR are excluded. Physical delivery need not occur before the deadline. Both the announcement and confirmation by a Source Agency must occur before January 1, 2027. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

If a new U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve release announcement is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying announcement must commit to releasing additional SPR crude oil beyond quantities publicly announced before this market opened. Sales and exchanges qualify. Solicitations, contract awards, or deliveries implementing previously announced quantities do not qualify. Proposals, statements considering a release, and purchases to replenish the SPR are excluded. Physical delivery need not occur before the deadline. Both the announcement and confirmation by a Source Agency must occur before January 1, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (1)

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Will a new U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve release announcement be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?

Will a new U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve release announcement be confirmed before Jan 1, 2027?

If a new U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve release announcement is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A qualifying announcement must commit to releasing additional SPR crude oil beyond quantities publicly announced before this market opened. Sales and exchanges qualify. Solicitations, contract awards, or deliveries implementing previously announced quantities do not qualify. Proposals, statements considering a release, and purchases to replenish the SPR are excluded. Physical delivery need not occur before the deadline. Both the announcement and confirmation by a Source Agency must occur before January 1, 2027. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome41.5%
Yes
Volume200 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 08, 2027
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