What is the current price for "Who will launch a token this year?"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 95.5% probability.

How many markets are available for "Who will launch a token this year?"?

There are 14 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Who will launch a token this year?"?

Total trading volume is approximately $90K.

BackKKALSHI

Who will launch a token this year?

Vol90.5K contracts

Markets14

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event Group

EventKALSHICross-Platform

Single EventKALSHICross-PlatformCrypto

Who will launch a token this year?

Name: Who will launch a token this year?
Start: 2026-10-23T21:31:47.128Z
End: 2026-11-22T21:31:47.128Z

Part of: Who will launch a token this year?

Before Jan 1, 2027 If X launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. X token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value, not testnet, a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

VolTotal Volume

90.5K contracts

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Who will launch a token this year?

Vol

90.5K contracts

Markets

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Market snapshot: Oct 23, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(14)

Market	Outcome price
Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?	Yes 26.0%
Will Arc launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?	Yes 12.0%
Will Felix launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?	Yes 12.0%
Will Ostium launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?	Yes 8.0%
Will Rabby launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?	Yes 7.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (14)

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KALSHICrypto

Will Exponent launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Exponent launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome26.0%

Yes

Volume7.2K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will Arc launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Arc launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome12.0%

Yes

Volume21.9K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will Felix launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Felix launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome12.0%

Yes

Volume4.5K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will Ostium launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Ostium launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome8.0%

Yes

Volume6.1K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will Rabby launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Rabby launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome7.0%

Yes

Volume5.6K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will Fomo launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Fomo launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome6.5%

Yes

Volume7.7K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will OpenSea launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome5.5%

Yes

Volume8.1K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will Base launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Base launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome5.5%

Yes

Volume6.4K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will Tempo launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Tempo launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%

Yes

Volume2.4K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will Phantom launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Phantom launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%

Yes

Volume3.6K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will MetaMask launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If MetaMask launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome5.0%

Yes

Volume5.6K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will CME Group launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If CME Group launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome4.5%

Yes

Volume2.2K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will Unit launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Unit launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume1.6K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details

KALSHICrypto

Will Abstract launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

If Abstract launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the token launch occurs.

Yes outcome3.5%

Yes

Volume7.8K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateJan 08, 2027

View Details