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Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?

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EventKALSHI

Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?

Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?
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Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?

kalshi

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All Markets(1)
MarketOutcome price
Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?
Yes 29.0%

Event Overview

Before 2027 If Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes both the United States deciding to terminate TPS designation and the United States allowing TPS designation to lapse or expire. Ukrainian TPS holders keeping their protection after Oct 19, 2026 while a DHS decision is pending, including through an automatic extension under 8 U.S.C. 1254a(b)(3)(C), does not count as TPS ending. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

If Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This includes both the United States deciding to terminate TPS designation and the United States allowing TPS designation to lapse or expire. Ukrainian TPS holders keeping their protection after Oct 19, 2026 while a DHS decision is pending, including through an automatic extension under 8 U.S.C. 1254a(b)(3)(C), does not count as TPS ending. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (1)

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Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?

Will Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine end in 2026?

If Temporary Protected Status for Ukraine ends before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: This includes both the United States deciding to terminate TPS designation and the United States allowing TPS designation to lapse or expire. Ukrainian TPS holders keeping their protection after Oct 19, 2026 while a DHS decision is pending, including through an automatic extension under 8 U.S.C. 1254a(b)(3)(C), does not count as TPS ending. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome29.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateJan 01, 2027
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