What is the current price for "US trade deficit for 2031"?

The leading outcome "Yes" is currently trading at 81.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "US trade deficit for 2031"?

There are 8 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "US trade deficit for 2031"?

Total trading volume is approximately $0K.

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US trade deficit for 2031

Yes97%

Vol$2.00

Markets8

97%

TradeTrade on Kalshi

Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIEconomics

US trade deficit for 2031

Name: US trade deficit for 2031
Start: 2026-10-12T09:12:37.690Z
End: 2026-11-11T09:12:37.690Z

Part of: US trade deficit for 2031

2031 If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2031 is strictly above X billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods report, the December monthly deficit, or inflation-adjusted trade data. Because the agencies generally report the balance as a negative number, the market will use the absolute size of the deficit. For example, an a

YesLeading Yes Probability

97%

VolTotal Volume

$2.00

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

US trade deficit for 2031

Yes

97%

Vol

$2.00

Markets

Trade

Market Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $600 billion?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(8)

Market	Price
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $600 billion?	97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $500 billion?	97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $700 billion?	97%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $800 billion?	93%
Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $900 billion?	81%

Markets (8)

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KALSHIPolitics

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $600 billion?

If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2031 is strictly above $600 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods r

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $500 billion?

If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2031 is strictly above $500 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods r

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $700 billion?

If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2031 is strictly above $700 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods r

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $800 billion?

If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2031 is strictly above $800 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods r

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $900 billion?

If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2031 is strictly above $900 billion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods r

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $1.0 trillion?

If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2031 is strictly above $1.0 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $1.1 trillion?

If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2031 is strictly above $1.1 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods

Will the U.S. goods and services deficit for 2031 be above $1.2 trillion?

If the U.S. goods and services deficit for calendar year 2031 is strictly above $1.2 trillion dollars, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the nominal goods and services balance on a balance-of-payments basis. It will not use the goods-only deficit, the advance goods