On Oct 16, 2026 If Trump's RCP approval average is X Y at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
19.1K contracts
9
19.1K contracts
9
Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.
9 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Outcome price |
|---|---|
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.8 on Oct 16, 2026? | Yes 31.5% |
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.8 on Oct 16, 2026? | Yes 28.0% |
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.9 on Oct 16, 2026? | Yes 14.5% |
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.0 on Oct 16, 2026? | Yes 9.5% |
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 39.1 on Oct 16, 2026? | Yes 5.5% |
On Oct 16, 2026 If Trump's RCP approval average is X Y at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 39.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
If Trump's RCP approval average is above 39.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.