
Will Trump's RCP approval average be below 38.5 on Oct 26, 2026?
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.








