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Will Trump talk to Lula before November?

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EventKALSHI

Will Trump talk to Lula before November?

Will Trump talk to Lula before November?
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Vol

4.7K contracts

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Markets

1

Market snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

1 market tracked

Donald Trump and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meet before Nov 1, 2026?

kalshi

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All Markets(1)
MarketOutcome price
Donald Trump and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meet before Nov 1, 2026?
Yes 27.5%

Event Overview

Donald Trump–Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meeting If Donald Trump and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meet (including phone calls) after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Market Resolution Rules

If Donald Trump and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meet (including phone calls) after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (1)

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Donald Trump and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meet before Nov 1, 2026?

Donald Trump and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meet before Nov 1, 2026?

If Donald Trump and Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva meet (including phone calls) after Issuance and before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: A meeting is defined as any of the following: An in-person encounter where both parties are physically present in the same location A virtual meeting via video conference where both parties can see and hear each other in real-time A phone call where both parties speak directly to each other Any combination of the above where the parties interact directly in real-time The following qualify as meetings (though this list is not exhaustive): Formal bilateral meetings, summits, or conferences Informal encounters at multilateral events if documented by Source Agencies Working dinners, lunches, or other meal meetings Pull-aside meetings or corridor conversations if documented Home visits or meetings at non-official locations The following do NOT qualify as meetings: Being present at the same event without direct interaction Exchanging written correspondence Communication through intermediaries without direct contact Pre-recorded messages or asynchronous communication Meetings cancelled after being scheduled Near-misses where parties were scheduled to meet but did not Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

Yes outcome27.5%
Yes
Volume4.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 08, 2026
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