What is the current price for "Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026"?

The leading outcome "No" is currently trading at 98.0% probability.

How many markets are available for "Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026"?

There are 19 markets available for this event on Kalshi.

What is the trading volume for "Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026"?

Total trading volume is approximately $4K.

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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026

Vol3.9K contracts

Markets19

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Event Group

EventKALSHI

Single EventKALSHIEconomics

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026

Name: Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026
Start: 2026-10-15T19:25:28.437Z
End: 2026-11-14T19:25:28.437Z

Part of: Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026

October 15, 2026 If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above X MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

VolTotal Volume

3.9K contracts

Markets

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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026

Vol

3.9K contracts

Markets

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Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 72,000 MW?

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All Markets(19)

Market	Outcome price
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 72,000 MW?	Yes 96.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 72,500 MW?	Yes 94.5%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 73,000 MW?	Yes 93.5%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 73,500 MW?	Yes 86.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 74,000 MW?	Yes 84.0%

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

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Markets (19)

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KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 72,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 72,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome96.0%

Yes

Volume208 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 72,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 72,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome94.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 73,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 73,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome93.5%

Yes

Volume247.46 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 73,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 73,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome86.0%

Yes

Volume1.6K contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 74,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 74,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome84.0%

Yes

Volume424.19 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 74,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 74,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome73.5%

Yes

Volume836.15 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 75,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 75,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome44.0%

Yes

Volume417 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 75,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 75,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome43.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 76,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 76,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome9.5%

Yes

Volume160 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 76,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 76,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome4.0%

Yes

Volume10 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 77,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 77,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome3.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 77,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 77,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome3.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 79,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 79,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume36 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 79,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 79,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 78,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 78,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 78,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 78,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.5%

Yes

Volume3 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 81,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 81,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 80,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 80,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

KALSHIOther

CLOSING SOON

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 80,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 is above 80,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 15, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.0%

Yes

Volume0 contracts

LiquidityN/A

End DateOct 23, 2026

View Details

Back to Event Group

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 15, 2026

Market Price Graph

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 15, 2026 be above 72,000 MW?

Rules & Resolution Criteria

Event Overview

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

Markets (19)

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