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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 17, 2026

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EventKALSHI

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 17, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 17, 2026
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Vol

3.0K contracts

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Markets

19

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Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 49,000 MW?

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No data available

All Markets(19)
MarketOutcome price
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 49,000 MW?
Yes 99.5%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 52,500 MW?
Yes 50.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 51,500 MW?
Yes 50.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 49,500 MW?
Yes 50.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 50,000 MW?
Yes 48.5%

Event Overview

October 17, 2026 If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above X MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading
View full terms on Kalshi

Markets (19)

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KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 49,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 49,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 49,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume510.15 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 52,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 52,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 52,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume145 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 51,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 51,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 51,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume1.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 49,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 49,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 49,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume56 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 50,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 50,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 50,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome48.5%
Yes
Volume113.69 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 50,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 50,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 50,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome48.0%
Yes
Volume3.29 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 51,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 51,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 51,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome9.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 52,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 52,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 52,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 58,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 58,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 58,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 57,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 57,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 57,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 57,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 57,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 57,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume1.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 56,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 56,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 56,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 56,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 56,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 56,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 55,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 55,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 55,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 55,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 55,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 55,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 54,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 54,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 54,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume50 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 54,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 54,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 54,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 53,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 53,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 53,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume10 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 53,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 be above 53,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 17, 2026 is above 53,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 17, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume13 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 25, 2026
View Details

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