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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 20, 2026

Event Group
EventKALSHI

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 20, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 20, 2026
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Vol

447.82 contracts

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Markets

19

Market snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 55,500 MW?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(19)
MarketOutcome price
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 55,500 MW?
Yes 98.5%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 56,500 MW?
Yes 98.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 56,000 MW?
Yes 98.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 55,000 MW?
Yes 98.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 57,000 MW?
Yes 93.5%

Event Overview

October 20, 2026 If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above X MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (19)

Sort
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 55,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 55,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 55,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 56,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 56,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 56,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume3 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 56,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 56,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 56,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume53.19 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 55,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 55,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 55,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume300 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 57,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 57,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 57,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome93.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 57,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 57,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 57,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome92.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 58,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 58,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 58,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome80.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 58,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 58,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 58,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome76.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 59,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 59,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 59,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome75.5%
Yes
Volume75.08 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 59,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 59,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 59,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome54.5%
Yes
Volume7.55 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 60,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 60,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 60,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome51.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 60,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 60,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 60,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome46.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 61,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 61,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 61,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome32.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 61,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 61,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 61,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome26.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 62,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 62,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 62,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome13.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 62,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 62,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 62,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome7.5%
Yes
Volume6 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 63,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 63,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 63,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 63,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 63,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 63,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.0%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 64,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 be above 64,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 20, 2026 is above 64,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 20, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 28, 2026
View Details

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