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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 21, 2026

Event Group
EventKALSHI

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 21, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 21, 2026
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Vol

272.22 contracts

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Markets

19

Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 59,000 MW?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(19)
MarketOutcome price
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 59,000 MW?
Yes 94.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 59,500 MW?
Yes 83.5%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 60,500 MW?
Yes 75.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 60,000 MW?
Yes 66.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 61,000 MW?
Yes 63.5%

Event Overview

October 21, 2026 If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above X MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (19)

Sort
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 59,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 59,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 59,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome94.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 59,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 59,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 59,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome83.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 60,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 60,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 60,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome75.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 60,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 60,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 60,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome66.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 61,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 61,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 61,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome63.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 61,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 61,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 61,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome60.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 66,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 66,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 66,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 62,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 62,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 62,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome45.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 68,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 68,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 68,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome44.0%
Yes
Volume152.22 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 63,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 63,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 63,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome43.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 62,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 62,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 62,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome41.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 66,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 66,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 66,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome39.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 64,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 64,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 64,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome33.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 64,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 64,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 64,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome31.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 67,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 67,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 67,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome30.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 63,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 63,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 63,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome29.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 67,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 67,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 67,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome27.0%
Yes
Volume70 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 65,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 65,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 65,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome24.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 65,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 be above 65,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 21, 2026 is above 65,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome24.5%
Yes
Volume50 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 29, 2026
View Details

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