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Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 22, 2026

Event Group
EventKALSHI

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 22, 2026

Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Oct 22, 2026
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Vol

27 contracts

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Markets

19

Market snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

19 markets tracked

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 61,500 MW?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(19)
MarketOutcome price
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 61,500 MW?
Yes 98.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 60,500 MW?
Yes 98.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 60,000 MW?
Yes 98.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 61,000 MW?
Yes 97.0%
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 62,000 MW?
Yes 91.0%

Event Overview

October 22, 2026 If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above X MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (19)

Sort
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 61,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 61,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 61,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 60,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 60,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 60,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 60,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 60,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 60,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 61,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 61,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 61,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome97.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 62,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 62,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 62,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome91.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 62,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 62,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 62,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome86.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 63,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 63,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 63,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome79.5%
Yes
Volume11 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 63,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 63,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 63,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome65.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 64,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 64,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 64,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome47.5%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 64,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 64,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 64,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome30.5%
Yes
Volume10 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 65,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 65,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 65,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome16.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 65,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 65,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 65,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome10.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 66,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 66,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 66,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome8.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 66,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 66,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 66,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome7.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 67,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 67,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 67,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome7.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 67,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 67,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 67,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome7.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 69,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 69,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 69,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome6.0%
Yes
Volume2 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 68,500 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 68,500 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 68,500 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.0%
Yes
Volume2 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details
KALSHIOther
CLOSING SOON
Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 68,000 MW?

Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 be above 68,000 MW?

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on October 22, 2026 is above 68,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the October 22, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

Yes outcome2.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 30, 2026
View Details

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