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10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 19, 2026?
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Vol

13.0K contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 17, 2026, 8:57 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 19, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 19, 2026?
Yes 98.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 19, 2026?
Yes 98.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 19, 2026?
Yes 95.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 19, 2026?
Yes 83.0%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 19, 2026?
Yes 79.5%

Event Overview

On Oct 19, 2026 If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume340 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.95% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume1.0K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume900 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.01% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome83.0%
Yes
Volume326 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.03% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome79.5%
Yes
Volume349 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.05% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome65.0%
Yes
Volume280.5 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.07% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome56.5%
Yes
Volume378.33 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.09% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome43.5%
Yes
Volume864.43 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.11% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.11% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome36.5%
Yes
Volume491.84 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.13% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.13% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome29.5%
Yes
Volume347 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome22.5%
Yes
Volume361.5 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome4.5%
Yes
Volume632 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.21% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume5.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 19, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Oct 19, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.23% on Oct 19, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 19, 2026, or one week following Oct 19, 2026.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume1.5K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 21, 2026
View Details

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