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10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 21, 2026?
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Vol

12.9K contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 98.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 98.0%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 95.0%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 91.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?
Yes 82.5%

Event Overview

On Oct 21, 2026 If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume1.4K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume400 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome95.0%
Yes
Volume300 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome91.5%
Yes
Volume306 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome82.5%
Yes
Volume349 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome72.5%
Yes
Volume413.55 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.12% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome55.5%
Yes
Volume403.58 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.14% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome37.5%
Yes
Volume192.91 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.16% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome23.5%
Yes
Volume300 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.18% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome11.5%
Yes
Volume300 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.20% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome5.0%
Yes
Volume523.52 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.22% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome2.5%
Yes
Volume280 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.26% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome2.0%
Yes
Volume4.7K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.28% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume3.1K contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Oct 21, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Oct 21, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.24% on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 21, 2026, or one week following Oct 21, 2026.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 23, 2026
View Details

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