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10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 30, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 30, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Nov 30, 2026?
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Vol

42.46 contracts

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Markets

25

Market snapshot: Nov 13, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Nov 30, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(25)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Nov 30, 2026?
Yes 98.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Nov 30, 2026?
Yes 98.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Nov 30, 2026?
Yes 98.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Nov 30, 2026?
Yes 98.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Nov 30, 2026?
Yes 98.0%

Event Overview

On Nov 30, 2026 If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (25)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.62% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.68% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome97.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome97.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome96.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome96.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.80% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome95.5%
Yes
Volume41.46 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome94.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome93.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome92.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome91.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.92% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome89.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.94% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome88.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.04% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.04% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome69.0%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.96% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.96% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome47.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.98% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.98% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome46.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.00% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.00% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome45.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.02% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.02% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome43.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.06% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.06% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome38.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Nov 30, 2026?

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.08% on Nov 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.08% on Nov 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 30, 2026, or one week following Nov 30, 2026.

Yes outcome35.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateDec 02, 2026
View Details

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