On Nov 6, 2026 If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
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Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.
15 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Outcome price |
|---|---|
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.45% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 86.0% |
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.47% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 82.0% |
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 78.0% |
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.51% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 73.0% |
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.53% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 68.0% |
On Nov 6, 2026 If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.45% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.47% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.51% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.53% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.55% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.57% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.61% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.63% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.67% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.71% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.73% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.