On Oct 23, 2026 If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
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Market snapshot: Oct 18, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.
15 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Outcome price |
|---|---|
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 23, 2026? | Yes 85.0% |
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 23, 2026? | Yes 82.0% |
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 23, 2026? | Yes 79.0% |
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 23, 2026? | Yes 75.0% |
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 23, 2026? | Yes 70.0% |
On Oct 23, 2026 If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.62% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.68% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.80% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.