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2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
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Vol

1.4K contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Oct 30, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Oct 30, 2026?
Yes 94.0%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.52% on Oct 30, 2026?
Yes 94.0%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.50% on Oct 30, 2026?
Yes 94.0%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.56% on Oct 30, 2026?
Yes 92.5%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.58% on Oct 30, 2026?
Yes 90.5%

Event Overview

On Oct 30, 2026 If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome94.0%
Yes
Volume579 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.52% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.52% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.52% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome94.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.50% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.50% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome94.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.56% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.56% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.56% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome92.5%
Yes
Volume127 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.58% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.58% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.58% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome90.5%
Yes
Volume300 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome87.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.62% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome84.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome79.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome74.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.68% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome67.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome60.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome50.5%
Yes
Volume76 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome43.5%
Yes
Volume203 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome36.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 30, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 30, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

Yes outcome30.0%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateNov 01, 2026
View Details

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