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2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?
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Vol

4.0K contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 15, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 98.5%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 97.5%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 95.0%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 83.0%

Event Overview

On Oct 15, 2026 If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume79 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.67% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume264 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.69% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome97.5%
Yes
Volume11 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.71% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome95.0%
Yes
Volume230 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.73% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.73% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome83.0%
Yes
Volume114 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.75% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome58.0%
Yes
Volume447 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.77% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome26.0%
Yes
Volume705 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome12.0%
Yes
Volume852 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.81% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.81% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome1.5%
Yes
Volume631.27 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome1.0%
Yes
Volume307 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.83% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.83% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome1.0%
Yes
Volume270 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.93% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.91% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.89% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.87% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.87% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume67 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details

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