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2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?

2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 20, 2026?
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Vol

1.1K contracts

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Markets

15

Market snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

15 markets tracked

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 20, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(15)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes 99.0%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes 98.0%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes 97.5%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes 96.0%
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 20, 2026?
Yes 94.0%

Event Overview

On Oct 20, 2026 If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (15)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.60% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome99.0%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.62% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome98.0%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.64% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome97.5%
Yes
Volume126 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.66% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome96.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.68% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome94.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome88.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.72% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome84.0%
Yes
Volume44 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.74% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome68.5%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.76% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome64.5%
Yes
Volume500 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome51.0%
Yes
Volume1 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.80% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome33.0%
Yes
Volume6 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome24.0%
Yes
Volume5 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.84% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome14.0%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.86% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome6.0%
Yes
Volume267 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 20, 2026?

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Oct 20, 2026?

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.88% on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 20, 2026, or one week following Oct 20, 2026.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 22, 2026
View Details

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