On Nov 6, 2026 If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
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Market snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed.
15 markets tracked
No data available
| Market | Outcome price |
|---|---|
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.15% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 91.5% |
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.17% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 90.0% |
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.19% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 86.0% |
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.21% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 80.5% |
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.23% on Nov 6, 2026? | Yes 76.0% |
On Nov 6, 2026 If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.15% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.17% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.19% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.21% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.23% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.25% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.27% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.29% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.31% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.33% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.35% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.37% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.39% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.41% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.43% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.