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30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?

Event Group
EventKALSHI

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 15, 2026?
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Vol

3.3K contracts

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Markets

25

Market snapshot: Oct 15, 2026, 4:13 PM UTC. Prices may have changed.

Market Price Graph

25 markets tracked

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% on Oct 15, 2026?

kalshi

No data available

All Markets(25)
MarketOutcome price
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 99.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 99.0%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 98.5%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Oct 15, 2026?
Yes 96.5%

Event Overview

On Oct 15, 2026 If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Market Resolution Rules

Important Notes

  • Markets resolve based on official data sources specified in the rules
  • Resolution may be delayed if official data is not immediately available
  • Kalshi markets are regulated by the CFTC and follow strict resolution procedures
  • Always verify the exact resolution criteria before trading

Markets (25)

Sort
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.28% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.30% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.32% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome99.0%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.34% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.34% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome98.5%
Yes
Volume102 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.36% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome96.5%
Yes
Volume252 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.20% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.22% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.24% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.26% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome94.5%
Yes
Volume26 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.38% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome91.0%
Yes
Volume673 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.40% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.40% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.40% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome83.0%
Yes
Volume830.84 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.42% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.42% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.42% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome50.0%
Yes
Volume562.52 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.44% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.44% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.44% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome16.0%
Yes
Volume105 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.46% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.46% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.46% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome8.5%
Yes
Volume79.18 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.48% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.48% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.48% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome3.5%
Yes
Volume96.56 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.50% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.50% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.50% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome2.0%
Yes
Volume100 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.56% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.56% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.56% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome1.0%
Yes
Volume276 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.68% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.68% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.68% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.66% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.66% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.66% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.64% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.64% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.64% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.62% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.62% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.62% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.60% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.60% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.60% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.58% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.58% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.58% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.54% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.54% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.54% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume2 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details
KALSHIEconomics
CLOSING SOON
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.52% on Oct 15, 2026?

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.52% on Oct 15, 2026?

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.52% on Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 15, 2026, or one week following Oct 15, 2026.

Yes outcome0.5%
Yes
Volume0 contracts
LiquidityN/A
End DateOct 17, 2026
View Details

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